Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000109 0.000116 0.000123 0.000130 0.000139 0.000148 0.000159
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000100 0.000109 0.000119 0.000131 0.000145 0.000161 0.000181
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000102 0.000114 0.000129 0.000147 0.000169 0.000198
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000087 0.000099 0.000112 0.000130 0.000152 0.000180 0.000219
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000084 0.000097 0.000112 0.000132 0.000158 0.000193 0.000244
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000092 0.000108 0.000129 0.000158 0.000197 0.000257
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000075 0.000087 0.000103 0.000125 0.000154 0.000196 0.000263
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000071 0.000084 0.000099 0.000121 0.000153 0.000197 0.000271
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000079 0.000094 0.000116 0.000147 0.000192 0.000269
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000065 0.000078 0.000094 0.000117 0.000150 0.000201 0.000290
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000064 0.000077 0.000094 0.000119 0.000155 0.000212 0.000319
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000077 0.000094 0.000120 0.000160 0.000223 0.000347
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000062 0.000076 0.000095 0.000123 0.000166 0.000240 0.000392
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000074 0.000093 0.000121 0.000167 0.000246 0.000417
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000072 0.000091 0.000120 0.000167 0.000250 0.000439
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000057 0.000071 0.000090 0.000120 0.000170 0.000261 0.000482
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000056 0.000071 0.000090 0.000122 0.000176 0.000278 0.000544
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000068 0.000088 0.000119 0.000174 0.000279 0.000564
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000052 0.000066 0.000085 0.000116 0.000169 0.000274 0.000563
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000064 0.000082 0.000113 0.000166 0.000272 0.000573
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000061 0.000079 0.000108 0.000159 0.000261 0.000551
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000060 0.000079 0.000109 0.000162 0.000272 0.000606
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000060 0.000079 0.000110 0.000168 0.000289 0.000689